Bears vs Packers: Matchup Context

Chicago enters this matchup in an unfamiliar position. After securing the NFC North and a first-round home playoff game, the Bears are back in the postseason for the first time in several years and will host Green Bay at Soldier Field on Saturday night.

Green Bay arrives as a lower seed but with far more recent playoff experience. This will be the Packers’ third straight postseason appearance and another chapter in a rivalry that has rarely crossed into January football.

The two teams split their regular season meetings, including an overtime win by Chicago at home late in December. Green Bay closed the regular season on a losing streak, though their final game came with most starters rested, making recent form difficult to evaluate.

Chicago’s offense has shown both ceiling and volatility down the stretch. Caleb Williams has taken clear steps forward in his second season, but production has fluctuated from week to week. The question entering Saturday is which version of the Bears shows up. Will it be the explosive offense seen earlier in the year, or the unit that stalled in recent losses. 

Injuries are a big factor in how this game is being priced. For Green Bay, quarterback Malik Willis is listed as questionable with a shoulder injury, which could materially affect the Packers’ offensive outlook if he’s limited or unavailable. On Chicago’s side, wide receivers DJ Moore and Rome Odunze are both questionable. This is a key consideration for a Bears offense that relies heavily on perimeter playmaking. In the secondary, C.J. Gardner-Johnson’s concussion status adds another layer of uncertainty against Green Bay’s passing game. 

With uncertainty on both sides and a tight projected margin, Bears vs Packers shapes up as one of the most actively traded games of the weekend. Below is a side-by-side look at spreads, totals, and moneylines across Novig, Kalshi, and DraftKings, with a focus on where the best prices can be found and how platform structure impacts the odds you’re trading into.

How This Comparison Was Done

Odds were captured from the same Bears vs Packers matchup within the same time window and compared across three platforms:

• Novig
• Kalshi
• DraftKings

Only core markets were included:

• Point spread
• Total (over/under)
• Moneyline

Promotions and bonuses were excluded to keep the comparison focused strictly on pricing. 

Odds Overview

Odds are provided from Kalshi, Novig, and DraftKings and updated as of Thursday, Jan. 8th at 6:20 p.m. ET.

Bears vs Packers Spread Odds

The spread market shows clear separation across platforms, both in the number and the price.

On Novig, Green Bay is listed at -1.5 (-102), while Chicago sits at +1.5 (-106). DraftKings offers the same number, but at meaningfully worse prices on both sides. Kalshi is an outlier, posting a -2.5 / +2.5 spread, which introduces additional risk for Packers backers and forces Bears traders to pay a steep premium.

Best price: Novig

• Same spread as DraftKings, but cheaper on both sides
• No need to lay extra juice to access the key number
• Avoids the additional point risk present on Kalshi

For traders focused on tight spreads and efficient pricing, Novig offers the cleanest entry into this market.

Bears vs Packers Total Odds

Totals pricing highlights even sharper differences across platforms.

Novig and DraftKings are aligned on the number at 44.5, while Kalshi sits two points higher at 46.5, materially changing the shape of the market. On price, Novig again stands out, particularly on the over.

Best price: Novig

• Same total as DraftKings with a significantly cheaper over
• Balanced pricing on both sides
• Avoids Kalshi’s inflated number and heavily juiced under

For a playoff game expected to stay competitive, Novig offers the most efficient way to trade the total without paying an unnecessary margin.

Bears vs Packers Moneyline Odds

Moneyline pricing further reinforces the platform differences.

Novig offers Packers -114 and Bears +111, while DraftKings and Kalshi both widen the gap through embedded margin. Kalshi, in particular, prices the Bears at +100, eliminating upside entirely compared to Novig

Best price: Novig

• Best price on both sides of the moneyline
• Higher payout on the Bears compared to DraftKings and Kalshi
• Lower cost on the Packers favorite

In a game with a narrow spread, these differences matter. Novig’s pricing reflects tighter implied probabilities without sportsbook-style padding. 

Why Pricing Differs Across Platforms

DraftKings operates as a traditional sportsbook. Odds are set by the house, and margin is embedded into every market.

Kalshi operates as a regulated prediction market with binary outcomes. Prices reflect crowd sentiment, but spreads can widen when liquidity is uneven.

Novig operates as a peer-to-peer sports trading market. There is no house setting odds and no built-in vig, which allows prices to tighten as liquidity increases. Novig’s sole focus on sports predictions allows liquidity to maintain high in all NFL odds markets. 

Which Platform Has the Best Bears vs Packers Odds?

Across spreads, totals, and moneylines, Novig consistently shows the most favorable pricing in the Bears vs Packers matchup.

While prices will always move as markets trade, the Bears vs Packers game highlightsz how zero-vig, peer-driven sports prediction markets can deliver sharper odds compared to both traditional sportsbooks and other prediction markets. 

Quick Summary

Bears vs Packers is shaping up as a tight playoff matchup with uncertainty on both sides. Chicago has home-field advantage but inconsistent recent form, while Green Bay brings postseason experience with key health questions. That balance has kept the spread narrow and the market competitive.

In games like this, price matters more than opinion. When there’s little separation between teams, small differences in odds can have an outsized impact.

Across spreads, totals, and moneylines, Novig consistently offers the most efficient pricing in this matchup. For a rivalry game expected to come down to a few key moments, the best edge is the price you trade into.